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McCain leading Obama?

According to the most recent Zogby poll, GOP Senator and presidential hopeful John McCain is now leading Barack Obama nationally by five percent. While some conservatives are jumping all over this result as sort of a Progress lighting the way good news item, I’m not.

I’ve said before and I’ll still by it now: I don’t believe polls, except for the one everyone takes part in in early November. How anyone can say with any accuracy that a poll of maybe 5,000 people can accurately reflect the mood of a nation of 304 million is far beyond me. Of course, there’s a simple answer: it can’t.

As Mark Twain famously said, there are three levels of falsehood: lies, damn lies and statistics. His words are even truer today.

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